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Premier League Sets the Pace as Champions League Kicks Off Without Major Shocks

By LiveScore365 Newsroom · Premier League Manchester City

The opening round of the 2026-27 Champions League has offered an early snapshot of the season ahead, even with 126 matches still to be played before the 24 knockout-phase teams are confirmed. Statistically, one theme stands out above all others: English clubs are once again setting the standard in Europe's premier competition.

After Premier League sides claimed five of the eight automatic qualification places in 2025-26, all of England's representatives began this campaign with victories. Liverpool arguably faced the toughest task, being the only English club drawn against pot-one opposition, though they had home advantage. Arsenal, Aston Villa and Manchester City all won away from home, arguably a tougher feat.

The numbers behind these results were emphatic. English clubs collectively outshot their opponents 102-44, recorded 28 more shots on target, and created 24 "big chances" as defined by Opta while conceding only five. When measured by expected goals difference, the Premier League topped the table of European leagues by a wide margin.

Italy's clubs sat at the opposite end of that same chart. Como won their match, Roma were held to a draw at Fenerbahce, while Napoli and Inter took on Arsenal and Real Madrid respectively. The underlying data was not kind to Serie A representatives overall, though it is far too early to draw lasting conclusions.

One exception was Inter, who despite losing to Real Madrid at the Santiago Bernabéu, produced remarkable attacking output. They registered at least 57 touches in the opposition penalty area, a mark matched by only one other side (Paris Saint-Germain against Slovan Bratislava) and rarely approached in the Premier League, where the per-team average sits at 24.6 touches. Inter also had more shots than any visiting side has managed in a single 90-minute European away match in eight years. Real Madrid, missing seven of nine big chances they created, arguably could have lost the game. Notably, only 21-year-old Dean Huijsen among Real's back four had been at the club last season, a fact manager José Mourinho highlighted afterward. "Mad, and not a madness I like," Mourinho said of Real's defensive uncertainty.

Elsewhere, the opening two matchdays produced no draws at all, a rarity that culminated in Fenerbahce head coach Ismail Kartal resigning following a 1-1 result against Roma. Beyond the lack of stalemates, few games were even competitive by expected-goals metrics — only four of 18 fixtures had an xG margin below one goal, meaning the eventual winner was almost always the deserving side statistically.

That trend could have consequences later in the season. Fewer draws generally push up the points total required to reach the play-off round. Last season, the 24th-placed team, Benfica, advanced with nine points after 25 draws were recorded across the league phase. The previous campaign saw only 18 draws, and Club Brugge needed 11 points to claim the final play-off spot. With this season on pace for around 16 draws, the competitiveness threshold appears to be rising again.

Despite so many one-sided results, the opening week produced no genuine shocks. Only two victories were secured by underdogs according to bookmakers, and one of those — Aston Villa's win over Club Brugge — reflected the financial gap between reigning Europa League champions and their opponents rather than a true surprise. The most unexpected result by pre-match odds was Real Betis's 3-2 win at Lille, though with both sides ranked closely in Opta's Power Rankings, even that was no major upset. Fans hoping for scenes reminiscent of last season's shocks — such as Qarabag beating Benfica or Galatasaray defeating Liverpool — will have to wait for the coming rounds.

Based on reporting from The Guardian.

Sources: guardian-football
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